Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2753
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
G4 2753 · PIT → PIE
departs 6:09 PM ET · arrives 8:29 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Fri 10/9 32%
Odds over time
Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±2 pts
−27 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
3.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 39% · changed −27 pts in 24h
−27 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave PIT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −17 pts in 24h
−17 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at PIE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PIE?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Arrivals into PIE at that hour are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at PIT that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
PIT usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
PIT (origin)
Gusts 21 kt
Ceiling 500 ft
Visibility 5 mi
Precip 0.12 in
PIE (destination)
Gusts 17 kt
Ceiling 3,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.