Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2822
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
G4 2822 · SFB → CHA
departs 7:16 PM ET · arrives 8:53 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 3h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Fri 10/9 40%
Odds over time
Arrive at CHA more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
44%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Now
Arrive at CHA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 44% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Arrive at CHA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to CHA?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
9%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 25 kt, 1.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at SFB that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
This flight has been late 31% of the time recently
↓
SFB usually runs smoothly
↓
SFB is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
SFB (origin)
Gusts 25 kt
Ceiling 2,300 ft
Visibility 6 mi
Precip 1.04 in
CHA (destination)
Gusts 7 kt
Ceiling 8,800 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.