Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2850
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
G4 2850 · SGF → SFB
departs 3:26 PM CT · arrives 6:48 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Fri 10/9 42%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
51%
chance · ±1 pts
+10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
51%
Leave 15+ late
48%
Arrive 1h+ late
28%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 51% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Leave SGF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 48% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Arrive at SFB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to SFB?
On time or early
46%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
20%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 25 kt, 0.9 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at SFB that day
↑
This flight has been late 24% of the time recently
↑
Arrivals into SFB at that hour are often late
↓
SGF usually runs smoothly
↓
SFB is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
SGF (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.14 in
SFB (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 2,300 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 1.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.