Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2929
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
G4 2929 · SBN → SFB
departs 9:26 AM ET · arrives 11:52 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 13h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Fri 10/9 19%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±0 pts
+17 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
10%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.5d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 41% · changed +17 pts in 24h
+17 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave SBN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at SFB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
How late will it get to SFB?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
10%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 29% of the time recently
↑
Other factors
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
SBN usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SBN (origin)
Gusts 19 kt
Ceiling 600 ft
Visibility 2 mi
Precip 0.45 in
SFB (destination)
Gusts 25 kt
Ceiling 2,300 ft
Visibility 6 mi
Precip 1.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.