Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2944
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
G4 2944 · TRI → SFB
departs 2:59 PM ET · arrives 4:33 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Fri 10/9 52%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
60%
chance · ±0 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
60%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
18%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
3.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 64% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
60%
Yes 60%
No 40%
Leave TRI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 51% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at SFB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to SFB?
On time or early
38%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
27%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
10%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 34% of the time recently
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at SFB that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at TRI
Weather at each end
TRI (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling 4,800 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SFB (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 2,300 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 1.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.