Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2954
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
G4 2954 · BLV → SFB
departs 8:36 AM CT · arrives 11:54 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 12h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Fri 10/9 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±0 pts
+10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
11%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.5d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave BLV more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at SFB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
How late will it get to SFB?
On time or early
51%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
11%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 23% of the time recently
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft forecast at BLV that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
BLV is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
BLV (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.04 in
SFB (destination)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 2,300 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 1.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.