Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 2996
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
G4 2996 · BNA → DSM
departs 3:01 PM CT · arrives 4:40 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 6h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Mon 10/5 25%
Fri 10/9 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at DSM more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±0 pts
+10 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
19%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DSM more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 46% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave BNA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at DSM more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 19% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to DSM?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 1,433 ft, 0.4 in of rain forecast at BNA that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
3pm departures from BNA are often late
↓
BNA usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DSM
Weather at each end
BNA (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.06 in
DSM (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.