Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 3033
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Yesterday
G4 3033 · MDT → JAX
departs 5:42 PM ET · arrives 7:50 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Fri 10/9 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at JAX more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±0 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 43% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave MDT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at JAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to JAX?
On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
9%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Visibility down to 0.75 mi, 1.7 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at JAX that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
5pm departures from MDT are often late
↓
JAX usually runs smoothly
↓
MDT usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
MDT (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 5,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
JAX (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip 1.86 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.