Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 3203
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
G4 3203 · SFB → ATW
departs 8:42 PM ET · arrives 10:34 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 1h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Fri 10/9 37%
Odds over time
Arrive at ATW more than 15 minutes late?
34%
chance · ±0 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
34%
Leave 15+ late
44%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Now
Lands
Arrive at ATW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Leave SFB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 44% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Arrive at ATW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 21% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to ATW?
On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 25 kt, 1.3 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at SFB that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ATW
Weather at each end
SFB (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 2,300 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 1.04 in
ATW (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.