Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 3478 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

G4 3478 · FLL → ALB

departs 3:51 PM ET · arrives 7:03 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 2:00 PM ET · 50h before departure

Arrive at ALB more than 15 minutes late?

34% chance · ±2 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ALB?

On time or early
65%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 40% of the time recently

↑ 3pm departures from FLL are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ ALB usually runs smoothly

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.13 in

ALB (destination) Gusts15 kt Ceiling1,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.18 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 3478 · FLL → ALB

Odds over time

How late will it get to ALB?