Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 3480 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

G4 3480 · FLL → MEM

departs 2:40 PM ET · arrives 3:59 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 4:00 PM ET · 47h before departure

Arrive at MEM more than 15 minutes late?

44% chance · ±1 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MEM?

On time or early
55%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
17%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ This flight has been late 49% of the time recently

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL

↑ 2pm departures from FLL are often late

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

↓ FLL is quiet at that time

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts21 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.18 in

MEM (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling1,133 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.22 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 3480 · FLL → MEM

Odds over time

How late will it get to MEM?