Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 402
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
G4 402 · GUF → CVG
departs 8:04 PM CT · arrives 11:01 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 1h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Mon 10/5 33%
Fri 10/9 31%
Odds over time
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±1 pts
−14 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.0d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Now
Lands
Arrive at CVG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed −14 pts in 24h
−14 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave GUF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 34% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at CVG more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to CVG?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi forecast at GUF that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
GUF is quiet at that time
↓
GUF usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
GUF (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.08 in
CVG (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.35 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.