Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 422
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
G4 422 · CVG → JAX
departs 1:12 PM ET · arrives 3:05 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Watch this flight
Odds over time
Arrive at JAX more than 15 minutes late?
47%
chance · ±1 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
47%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.6d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at JAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 48% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Leave CVG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at JAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to JAX?
On time or early
51%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 1.5 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at CVG that day
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at JAX that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↓
CVG is quiet at that time
↓
CVG usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
CVG (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 1.5 mi Precip 0.26 in
JAX (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 2,000 ft Visibility 0.75 mi Precip 3.55 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.