Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 423
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
G4 423 · CVG → SRQ
departs 9:00 AM ET · arrives 11:13 AM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 13h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Mon 10/5 9%
Fri 10/9 13%
Odds over time
Arrive at SRQ more than 15 minutes late?
18%
chance · ±0 pts
−22 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
18%
Leave 15+ late
13%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.5d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SRQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −22 pts in 24h
−22 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Leave CVG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −12 pts in 24h
−12 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Arrive at SRQ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SRQ?
On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, 0.7 in of rain forecast at CVG that day
↑
0.5 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at SRQ that day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↓
CVG usually runs smoothly
↓
9am departures from CVG are usually not late
Weather at each end
CVG (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.35 in
SRQ (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.