Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 498 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2

G4 498 · FLL → HSV

departs 7:40 AM ET · arrives 8:54 AM CT

Forecast issued Wed 1:00 AM ET · 55h before departure

Arrive at HSV more than 15 minutes late?

11% chance · ±0 pts −1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to HSV?

On time or early
87%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ G4's recent on-time record

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at FLL

↑ This flight has been late 21% of the time recently

↓ Early flights usually leave on time

↓ 7am departures from FLL are usually not late

Weather at each end

FLL (origin) Gusts22 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.23 in

HSV (destination) Gusts11 kt Ceiling3,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

G4 498 · FLL → HSV

Odds over time

How late will it get to HSV?