Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 59
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
G4 59 · MFR → LAS
departs 9:11 PM PT · arrives 11:00 PM PT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 39%
Mon 10/5 28%
Fri 10/9 40%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±0 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
57%
Arrive 1h+ late
30%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.1d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave MFR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 45% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
57%
Yes 57%
No 43%
Arrive at LAS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +14 pts in 24h
+14 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
23%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
This flight has been late 36% of the time recently
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into LAS at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at LAS
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MFR
Weather at each end
MFR (origin)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
LAS (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.