Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 684
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
G4 684 · RFD → AZA
departs 9:13 PM CT · arrives 10:35 PM MT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 0h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Mon 10/5 27%
Fri 10/9 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at AZA more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±3 pts
−3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.0d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AZA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave RFD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at AZA more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AZA?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
AZA is prone to delays
↑
This flight has been late 20% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at RFD
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at AZA
Weather at each end
RFD (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 3,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
AZA (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.