Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 701
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
G4 701 · AZA → RFD
departs 3:15 PM MT · arrives 8:23 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 4h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Mon 10/5 23%
Fri 10/9 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at RFD more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±1 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RFD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave AZA more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at RFD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to RFD?
On time or early
76%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
3pm departures from AZA are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at RFD
↓
RFD usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
AZA (origin)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
RFD (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 3,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.