Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 843
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Yesterday
G4 843 · SWF → PGD
departs 7:41 PM ET · arrives 10:45 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Fri 10/9 36%
Odds over time
Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±0 pts
−17 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed −17 pts in 24h
−17 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave SWF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at PGD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −14 pts in 24h
−14 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PGD?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
G4's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
SWF is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SWF
↓
SWF is quiet at that time
Weather at each end
SWF (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 5,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
PGD (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.