Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 927
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
G4 927 · SGF → PGD
departs 8:02 PM CT · arrives 11:38 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 1h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Fri 10/9 36%
Odds over time
Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±2 pts
−9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.0d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PGD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave SGF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at PGD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PGD?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
8pm departures from SGF are often late
↑
This flight has been late 27% of the time recently
↓
Cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 1.75 mi forecast at SGF that day
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SGF (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.14 in
PGD (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.