Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 958
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
G4 958 · PGD → LEX
departs 3:26 PM ET · arrives 5:35 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 7h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Mon 10/5 27%
Fri 10/9 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at LEX more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±0 pts
−13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
22%
Arrive 1h+ late
11%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
3.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LEX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed −13 pts in 24h
−13 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave PGD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −13 pts in 24h
−13 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Arrive at LEX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LEX?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at PGD that day
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.3 in of rain forecast at LEX that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
LEX usually runs smoothly
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PGD (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
LEX (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 2.5 mi Precip 0.19 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.