Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ALLEGIANT · FLIGHT G4 974
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
G4 974 · EYW → PIE
departs 4:41 PM ET · arrives 5:47 PM ET
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 5h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Mon 10/5 23%
Fri 10/9 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±0 pts
−18 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.8d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PIE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed −18 pts in 24h
−18 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave EYW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at PIE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to PIE?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 45 kt, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 0.4 in of rain, thunderstorms forecast at EYW that day
↑
Thunderstorms forecast at PIE that day
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
EYW usually runs smoothly
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
EYW (origin)
Gusts 45 kt Ceiling 1,400 ft Visibility 0.25 mi Precip 0.27 in
PIE (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 3,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.