Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3401
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
MQ 3401 · AUS → DFW
departs 8:40 AM CT · arrives 9:58 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 AM ET · 8h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 25%
Sun 10/4 19%
Mon 10/5 12%
Tue 10/6 8%
Wed 10/7 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±0 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
13%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.5d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
51%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
13%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 1.3 in of rain forecast at AUS that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
AUS usually runs smoothly
↓
8am departures from AUS are usually not late
Weather at each end
AUS (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 1.27 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.49 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.