Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3411
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
MQ 3411 · GCK → DFW
departs 5:00 AM CT · arrives 6:33 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 AM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 18%
Sun 10/4 8%
Mon 10/5 8%
Tue 10/6 6%
Wed 10/7 7%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
15%
chance · ±0 pts
−7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
15%
Leave 15+ late
15%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
22%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.3d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Leave GCK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +19 pts in 24h
+19 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
22%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↑
MQ's recent on-time record
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
GCK (origin)
Gusts 20 kt
Ceiling 6,533 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
DFW (destination)
Gusts 19 kt
Ceiling 600 ft
Visibility 3 mi
Precip 0.56 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.