Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3432
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
MQ 3432 · DFW → ICT
departs 10:30 PM CT · arrives 11:51 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Fri 10/9 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at ICT more than 15 minutes late?
58%
chance · ±0 pts
+13 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
58%
Leave 15+ late
34%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
22%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.1d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ICT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed +13 pts in 24h
+13 pts
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed −13 pts in 24h
−13 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Arrive at ICT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
How late will it get to ICT?
On time or early
33%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
22%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at DFW that day
↑
10pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.04 in
ICT (destination)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.