Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3443
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
MQ 3443 · BRO → DFW
departs 6:42 PM CT · arrives 8:30 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 32%
Mon 10/5 22%
Fri 10/9 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
31%
chance · ±1 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
31%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
6%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Leave BRO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed −15 pts in 24h
−15 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −17 pts in 24h
−17 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
6%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at DFW that day
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
BRO usually runs smoothly
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BRO (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.