Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3478
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
MQ 3478 · DFW → COU
departs 9:30 AM CT · arrives 11:14 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 12h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 28%
Sun 10/4 17%
Mon 10/5 12%
Fri 10/9 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at COU more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±0 pts
−20 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.5d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at COU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −20 pts in 24h
−20 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −10 pts in 24h
−10 pts
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at COU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to COU?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 900 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↑
9am departures from DFW are often late
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Arrivals into COU at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.04 in
COU (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.10 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.