Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3503
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Yesterday
MQ 3503 · DFW → ECP
departs 7:29 AM CT · arrives 9:34 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 14h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 39%
Sun 10/4 28%
Mon 10/5 15%
Fri 10/9 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at ECP more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±0 pts
−19 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
19%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.4d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ECP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed −19 pts in 24h
−19 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
19%
Yes 19%
No 81%
Arrive at ECP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −13 pts in 24h
−13 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to ECP?
On time or early
69%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 900 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
0.8 in of rain forecast at ECP that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Arrivals into ECP at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.04 in
ECP (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 1 mi Precip 0.45 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.