Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3521
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Tomorrow
MQ 3521 · BIS → DFW
departs 6:00 AM CT · arrives 8:48 AM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 9h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 33%
Sun 10/4 10%
Mon 10/5 11%
Tue 10/6 8%
Wed 10/7 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
23%
chance · ±0 pts
−15 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
23%
Leave 15+ late
17%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
27%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.4d
2d
1d
12h
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −15 pts in 24h
−15 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Leave BIS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +25 pts in 24h
+25 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
27%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↑
BIS is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Gusts to 28 kt forecast at BIS that day
Weather at each end
BIS (origin)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DFW (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.57 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.