Schedule: a typical Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026, re-dated). Real flights replace these once the FAA publishes them, usually about a day ahead.

ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3532 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, October 2 Tomorrow

MQ 3532 · DFW → FWA

departs 3:43 PM CT · arrives 7:09 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 42h before departure

Arrive at FWA more than 15 minutes late?

35% chance · ±4 pts +2 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to FWA?

On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.7 in of rain forecast at DFW that day

↑ 3pm departures from DFW are often late

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ FWA usually runs smoothly

↓ Fridays in October are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

DFW (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling800 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.69 in

FWA (destination) Gusts16 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility3 mi Precip0.56 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

MQ 3532 · DFW → FWA

Odds over time

How late will it get to FWA?