Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3567
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
MQ 3567 · DFW → RAP
departs 8:03 PM CT · arrives 9:31 PM MT
Forecast issued Fri 11:00 AM ET · 10h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 27%
Mon 10/5 13%
Tue 10/6 9%
Wed 10/7 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at RAP more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±0 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
9%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.0d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RAP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed −12 pts in 24h
−12 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at RAP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
How late will it get to RAP?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
<1%
30 min–1 hour late
27%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
9%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
8pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
RAP usually runs smoothly
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.54 in
RAP (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.