Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3569
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
MQ 3569 · DFW → GRK
departs 10:47 PM CT · arrives 11:39 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 3:00 AM ET · 21h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 30%
Sun 10/4 33%
Mon 10/5 16%
Tue 10/6 11%
Wed 10/7 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at GRK more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±5 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
8%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
4.1d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at GRK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at GRK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −12 pts in 24h
−12 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
How late will it get to GRK?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
8%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
10pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 2.3 in of rain forecast at GRK that day
↓
GRK usually runs smoothly
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.50 in
GRK (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 1.58 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.