Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3577
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
MQ 3577 · DFW → HSV
departs 9:36 AM CT · arrives 11:32 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 9:00 AM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 10/4 23%
Mon 10/5 13%
Tue 10/6 12%
Wed 10/7 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at HSV more than 15 minutes late?
21%
chance · ±0 pts
−20 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
21%
Leave 15+ late
18%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
9%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.5d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at HSV more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −20 pts in 24h
−20 pts
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −17 pts in 24h
−17 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Arrive at HSV more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
How late will it get to HSV?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
0%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
9%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 900 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↑
9am departures from DFW are often late
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.56 in
HSV (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.