Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3590
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
MQ 3590 · TUL → ORD
departs 6:35 AM CT · arrives 8:48 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 AM ET · 3h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 8%
Sun 10/4 6%
Mon 10/5 11%
Tue 10/6 10%
Wed 10/7 14%
Thu 10/8 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
14%
chance · ±0 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
14%
Leave 15+ late
9%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
9%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.4d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Leave TUL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
79%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
4%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
9%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
ORD is busy at that time
↑
MQ's recent on-time record
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
6am departures from TUL are usually not late
Weather at each end
TUL (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 1,500 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.03 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 2,800 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.10 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.