Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3592
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Tomorrow
MQ 3592 · DFW → ICT
departs 12:28 PM CT · arrives 1:52 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 10:00 PM ET · 16h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 30%
Sun 10/4 18%
Mon 10/5 15%
Tue 10/6 10%
Wed 10/7 11%
Odds over time
Arrive at ICT more than 15 minutes late?
38%
chance · ±4 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
38%
Leave 15+ late
36%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.6d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ICT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 18% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Arrive at ICT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to ICT?
On time or early
59%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.8 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
12pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
ICT usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.57 in
ICT (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 4.5 mi Precip 0.55 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.