Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3615
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
MQ 3615 · DFW → LBB
departs 10:46 PM CT · arrives 11:59 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 17h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 31%
Sun 10/4 27%
Mon 10/5 18%
Tue 10/6 14%
Wed 10/7 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at LBB more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±7 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
3%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.1d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LBB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at LBB more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to LBB?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 900 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
10pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
Gusts to 31 kt, cloud base down to 800 ft forecast at LBB that day
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.41 in
LBB (destination)
Gusts 31 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.07 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.