Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3656
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
MQ 3656 · LIT → ORD
departs 6:31 AM CT · arrives 8:42 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 2:00 AM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 11%
Sun 10/4 11%
Mon 10/5 13%
Tue 10/6 12%
Wed 10/7 16%
Thu 10/8 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±0 pts
+7 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
10%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.4d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +7 pts in 24h
+7 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave LIT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at ORD more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
How late will it get to ORD?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
10%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 1.0 in of rain forecast at LIT that day
↑
0.4 in of rain forecast at ORD that day
↑
MQ's recent on-time record
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
6am departures from LIT are usually not late
Weather at each end
LIT (origin)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 1.03 in
ORD (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 2,800 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.36 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.