Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3671
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
MQ 3671 · DFW → SGF
departs 7:01 PM CT · arrives 8:31 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 2h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 33%
Sun 10/4 24%
Mon 10/5 15%
Tue 10/6 12%
Wed 10/7 13%
Thu 10/8 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at SGF more than 15 minutes late?
30%
chance · ±0 pts
−8 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
30%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
3.9d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SGF more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed −14 pts in 24h
−14 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at SGF more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SGF?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at DFW that day
↑
7pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 22 kt
Ceiling 600 ft
Visibility 5 mi
Precip 0.04 in
SGF (destination)
Gusts 21 kt
Ceiling 300 ft
Visibility 2 mi
Precip 0.14 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.