Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3687
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
MQ 3687 · DFW → MTJ
departs 8:28 AM CT · arrives 9:45 AM MT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 AM ET · 8h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 16%
Sun 10/4 9%
Mon 10/5 8%
Tue 10/6 7%
Wed 10/7 7%
Thu 10/8 7%
Odds over time
Arrive at MTJ more than 15 minutes late?
26%
chance · ±0 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
26%
Leave 15+ late
25%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
2%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.5d
2d
1d
12h
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MTJ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Arrive at MTJ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MTJ?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↑
DFW is busy at that time
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MTJ
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.55 in
MTJ (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.