Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3691
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
MQ 3691 · ICT → DFW
departs 7:00 PM CT · arrives 8:26 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 AM ET · 16h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 37%
Sun 10/4 30%
Mon 10/5 18%
Tue 10/6 14%
Wed 10/7 16%
Thu 10/8 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
51%
chance · ±7 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
51%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
14%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
3.9d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Leave ICT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
42%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
14%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 1,400 ft forecast at ICT that day
↓
ICT usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
ICT (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.02 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.48 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.