Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3709
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Yesterday
MQ 3709 · TXK → DFW
departs 6:07 AM CT · arrives 7:29 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 15h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 26%
Sun 10/4 10%
Mon 10/5 6%
Tue 10/6 5%
Wed 10/7 6%
Thu 10/8 6%
Fri 10/9 6%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
13%
chance · ±0 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
13%
Leave 15+ late
14%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.4d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Leave TXK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −14 pts in 24h
−14 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
82%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 900 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, 0.6 in of rain forecast at TXK that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
6am departures from TXK are usually not late
Weather at each end
TXK (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.06 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.