Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3725
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
MQ 3725 · AEX → DFW
departs 6:00 AM CT · arrives 7:31 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 12:00 PM ET · 5h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 16%
Sun 10/4 16%
Mon 10/5 8%
Wed 10/7 6%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
11%
chance · ±0 pts
−14 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
11%
Leave 15+ late
11%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.4d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed −14 pts in 24h
−14 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Leave AEX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 11% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
11%
Yes 11%
No 89%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −11 pts in 24h
−11 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
84%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 900 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↑
MQ's recent on-time record
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
6am departures from AEX are usually not late
Weather at each end
AEX (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.02 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.48 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.