Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3727
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2
MQ 3727 · OKC → DFW
departs 8:20 PM CT · arrives 9:30 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 PM ET · 1h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Fri 10/2
Today 39%
Mon 10/5 16%
Fri 10/9 16%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
54%
chance · ±0 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
54%
Leave 15+ late
40%
Arrive 1h+ late
15%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
4.0d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 44% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
54%
Yes 54%
No 46%
Leave OKC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
40%
Yes 40%
No 60%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
15%
Yes 15%
No 85%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
44%
15–30 min late
27%
30 min–1 hour late
10%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft forecast at DFW that day
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
OKC usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
OKC (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 2.5 mi Precip 0.10 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.