Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3745
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
MQ 3745 · ORD → COU
departs 7:29 PM CT · arrives 9:01 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 AM ET · 16h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 14%
Sun 10/4 16%
Mon 10/5 18%
Tue 10/6 18%
Wed 10/7 18%
Odds over time
Arrive at COU more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±4 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
24%
Arrive 1h+ late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
3.9d
2d
1d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at COU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave ORD more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Arrive at COU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to COU?
On time or early
72%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
7pm departures from ORD are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into COU at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ORD (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 2,800 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.10 in
COU (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.11 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.