Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3762
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
MQ 3762 · RAP → DFW
departs 4:55 PM MT · arrives 8:22 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 10:00 AM ET · 9h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 33%
Sun 10/4 22%
Mon 10/5 15%
Tue 10/6 12%
Wed 10/7 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
45%
chance · ±0 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
45%
Leave 15+ late
36%
Arrive 1h+ late
20%
Cancelled
27%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.9d
2d
1d
12h
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Leave RAP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 17% · changed −16 pts in 24h
−16 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 2% · changed +10 pts in 24h
+10 pts
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
40%
15–30 min late
3%
30 min–1 hour late
15%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
27%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 900 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
Arrivals into DFW at that hour are often late
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Gusts to 28 kt forecast at RAP that day
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
RAP (origin)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 8,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
DFW (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.53 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.