Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3787
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
MQ 3787 · DFW → MFE
departs 5:55 PM CT · arrives 7:32 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 12h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 50%
Sun 10/4 37%
Mon 10/5 21%
Tue 10/6 13%
Wed 10/7 15%
Thu 10/8 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at MFE more than 15 minutes late?
49%
chance · ±0 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
49%
Leave 15+ late
31%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
9%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
3.9d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MFE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
49%
Yes 49%
No 51%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed −18 pts in 24h
−18 pts
31%
Yes 31%
No 69%
Arrive at MFE more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −6 pts in 24h
−6 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −7 pts in 24h
−7 pts
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
How late will it get to MFE?
On time or early
46%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
9%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 900 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
5pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
0.9 in of rain forecast at MFE that day
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.41 in
MFE (destination)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 1.38 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.