Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3805
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
MQ 3805 · DFW → OKC
departs 9:30 AM CT · arrives 10:37 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 1:00 AM ET · 10h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 23%
Sun 10/4 11%
Mon 10/5 11%
Tue 10/6 9%
Wed 10/7 10%
Odds over time
Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?
43%
chance · ±0 pts
+9 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
43%
Leave 15+ late
23%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
13%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
3.5d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OKC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −8 pts in 24h
−8 pts
23%
Yes 23%
No 77%
Arrive at OKC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +8 pts in 24h
+8 pts
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
How late will it get to OKC?
On time or early
50%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
13%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
Cloud base down to 500 ft forecast at OKC that day
↑
9am departures from DFW are often late
↓
Arrivals into OKC at that hour are usually not late
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 800 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.55 in
OKC (destination)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.10 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.