Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3919
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
MQ 3919 · GRK → DFW
departs 5:00 AM CT · arrives 6:01 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 7:00 AM ET · 1h after departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 30%
Sun 10/4 22%
Mon 10/5 10%
Tue 10/6 6%
Wed 10/7 6%
Thu 10/8 6%
Odds over time
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±0 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
17%
Cancelled
5%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.3d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave GRK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at DFW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
17%
Yes 17%
No 83%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to DFW?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
Cloud base down to 400 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 2.3 in of rain forecast at GRK that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
5am departures from GRK are usually not late
Weather at each end
GRK (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 1.62 in
DFW (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.41 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.