Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3936
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
MQ 3936 · DFW → FAR
departs 2:29 PM CT · arrives 5:09 PM CT
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 AM ET · 10h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 35%
Sun 10/4 18%
Mon 10/5 16%
Tue 10/6 10%
Wed 10/7 9%
Odds over time
Arrive at FAR more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±0 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Good. The odds now lean mostly on firmed-up weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
26%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
4%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.7d
2d
1d
Now
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FAR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −9 pts in 24h
−9 pts
26%
Yes 26%
No 74%
Arrive at FAR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
How late will it get to FAR?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
4%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 900 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
2pm departures from DFW are often late
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Fridays in October are usually quieter than average
↓
FAR usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.45 in
FAR (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.