Schedule: a typical summer Friday (the flights of Jul 31, 2026), re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
ENVOY · FLIGHT MQ 3938
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, October 2 Today
MQ 3938 · DFW → MLI
departs 8:30 AM CT · arrives 10:39 AM CT
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 AM ET · 6h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sat 10/3 22%
Sun 10/4 11%
Mon 10/5 8%
Tue 10/6 7%
Wed 10/7 8%
Odds over time
Arrive at MLI more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±0 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
20%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
7%
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
3.5d
2d
1d
12h
Now
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MLI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave DFW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 13% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
20%
Yes 20%
No 80%
Arrive at MLI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
7%
Yes 7%
No 93%
How late will it get to MLI?
On time or early
70%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
7%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Cloud base down to 800 ft, 0.5 in of rain forecast at DFW that day
↑
DFW is prone to delays
↓
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
Arrivals into MLI at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
DFW (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 900 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.48 in
MLI (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.